Banner Advertise

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

[chottala.com] India predicts regime change in Dhaka by early 2014

India predicts regime change in Dhaka by early 2014

ntelligence agencies in India, including Research & Analytical Wing
[RAW] has categorically alerted the Indian government about the
replacement of the current government in Bangladesh by a new "regime"
during early 2014. According to the reports, the popularity of the
Bangladesh Awami League led leftist-Islamist coalition is at fastest
decline. It said, more than 73 percent of the total population is
either unhappy or annoyed with the current government, who are looking
for changes during the next general election. The intelligence reports
also predicted Khaleda Zia returning to power with landslide victory.

India's prestigious daily newspaper The Times of India, a report by
Bharti Jain titled 'India's worries could mount with Khaleda Zia's
expected return to power in Bangladesh', said "With indications
increasingly suggesting the possibility of a regime change in Dhaka in
early 2014, the intelligence establishment here is worried that
anti-India forces could once again get a free run to use Bangladesh as
a staging post for terrorism and other subversive activities.

"The term of the Sheikh Hasina government, which reined in terror
outfits operating from its soil, ends in January 2014. Revolving-door
politics being much the norm in Bangladesh, it is likely to be the
turn of Begum Khaleda Zia, Hasina's arch rival who is not known to be
friendly towards India. In fact, as she rises in the charts
capitalizing on Hasina's incumbency, Khaleda has also been busy
painting the prime minister an Indian stooge.

"The security agencies fear that Bangladesh-based subversive elements,
like those aligned with fundamentalist outfit and BNP partner
Jamaat-e-Islami, could resume their policy of sponsoring and
sheltering insurgent groups active in northeast India which use the
neighbouring country as a safe haven besides providing an infiltration
route to Pakistan-sponsored terror outfits.

"The communal divide between Bodos and Bengali-speaking Muslims in
parts of Assam has the potential to be exploited by Bangladeshi
fundamentalists to radicalize the Muslim youth there and add muscle to
home-grown terror in India."

The Times of India termed the cooperation extended by Sheikh Hasina
government to New Delhi as "unprecedented" saying, "New Delhi has got
unprecedented cooperation from the Hasina regime in busting the havens
of Indian insurgent groups in her country as well as in the
investigation of terror incidents with Bangladeshi linkages. However,
as the popularity of the Awami League regime under Hasina dips, ceding
ground to rival BNP, the agencies fear that the gains of the last few
years may be reversed if Khaleda regains power."

Bharti Jain has once again made the same attempt similar to that of
false report which was published in Khaleej Times stating Pakistani
ISI gave money to Bangladesh Nationalist Party during election in
1991. She even falsified the statement of ISI ex-boss Asad Durrani's
statement saying, he [Durrani] had already acknowledged the fact of
funding BNP. In the report, Bharti Jain said, "It is no secret that
Pakistan's ISI has been using Bangladesh to carry out anti-India
operations. Bangladeshi terror outfit HuJI enjoys close links with
Pakistani tanzeems. Many of the ISI-sponsored perpetrators of terror
attacks in India had either infiltrated through Bangladesh or escaped
to the neighbouring country after the strikes. There are many other
instances of ISI links with Bangladesh: ISI footing the election bill
of Khaleda in 1991, a revelation made by none other than former ISI
chief Assad Durani; NSCN cadres travelling to Pakistan from Dhaka in
March 1996 for training in guerrilla warfare; an ISI-sponsored
technical expert training Ulfa in operation and installation of
communication equipment at a Nagaland camp; detaining of NSCN (I-M)
chief T Muivah at Bangkok airport in January 2000 while returning from
Karachi after allegedly inspecting an arms consignment; and the
revelation of arrested All Tripura Tiger Force (ATTF) cadres that ISI
had extended $20,000 assistance to Tk 58 lakh to the outfit, besides
imparting arms training to eight ATTF cadres in 1997 at Kandahar,
Afghanistan.

"With ISI and Bangladeshi group Jamaat-e-Islami allegedly funding
Assam-based Muslim fundamentalist groups like Multa, Mulfa, Simi and
Indian Mujahideen, it is feared that the latter may be used to exploit
the tension between Bodos and Bengali-speaking Muslims in Kokrajhar to
stoke communal fires and instigate local Muslims to take to home-grown
terror.

"Obviously, the Indian security establishment is keen to arrest the
slide in Awami League's popularity. Though there is little it can do
to reverse the incumbency disadvantage, a positive development on the
Teesta water-sharing pact, financial assistance for the Padma Bridge
project and exchange of enclaves may go a long way in correcting the
negative perception in Bangladesh that Hasina has not managed any
major concessions from India. However, these will be possible only
after UPA's troublesome ally, the Trinamool Congress, is convinced to
drop its reservations on Teesta and the enclaves."

Bharti Jain even forecasted in her report that a number of leaders of
Bangladesh Nationalist Party [BNP] will be convicted within 2013 on
war crime charges. She also categorically mentioned that Indian
intelligence agencies, including RAW are actively trying to find ways
of stopping the fastest decline in popularity of the ruling Bangladesh
Awami League led leftist-Islamist coalition government.

"Even as efforts will intensify over the next year to recover lost
ground for Hasina, senior intelligence officials here claimed that
Khaleda's BNP alliance, saddled by corruption cases and expected
conviction of its leaders by war crimes tribunals, could see a
reversal in its growing popular perception closer to the polls,
expected sometime in February 2014."

http://www.weeklyblitz.net/2517/indian-predicts-regime-change-in-dhaka-by-early

-------------

India's worries could mount with Khaleda Zia's expected return to
power in Bangladesh

With indications increasingly suggesting the possibility of a regime
change in Dhaka in early 2014, the intelligence establishment here is
worried that anti-India forces could once again get a free run to use
Bangladesh as a staging post for terrorism and other subversive
activities.

The term of the Sheikh Hasina government, which reined in terror
outfits operating from its soil, ends in January 2014. Revolving-door
politics being much the norm in Bangladesh, it is likely to be the
turn of Begum Khaleda Zia, Hasina's arch rival who is not known to be
friendly towards India. In fact, as she rises in the charts
capitalizing on Hasina's incumbency, Khaleda has also been busy
painting the prime minister an Indian stooge.

The security agencies fear that Bangladesh-based subversive elements,
like those aligned with fundamentalist outfit and BNP partner
Jamaat-e-Islami, could resume their policy of sponsoring and
sheltering insurgent groups active in northeast India which use the
neighbouring country as a safe haven besides providing an infiltration
route to Pakistan-sponsored terror outfits.

The communal divide between Bodos and Bengali-speaking Muslims in
parts of Assam has the potential to be exploited by Bangladeshi
fundamentalists to radicalize the Muslim youth there and add muscle to
home-grown terror in India.

New Delhi has got unprecedented cooperation from the Hasina regime in
busting the havens of Indian insurgent groups in her country as well
as in the investigation of terror incidents with Bangladeshi linkages.
However, as the popularity of the Awami League regime under Hasina
dips, ceding ground to rival BNP, the agencies fear that the gains of
the last few years may be reversed if Khaleda regains power.

It is no secret that Pakistan's ISI has been using Bangladesh to carry
out anti-India operations. Bangladeshi terror outfit HuJI enjoys close
links with Pakistani tanzeems. Many of the ISI-sponsored perpetrators
of terror attacks in India had either infiltrated through Bangladesh
or escaped to the neighbouring country after the strikes. There are
many other instances of ISI links with Bangladesh: ISI footing the
election bill of Khaleda in 1991, a revelation made by none other than
former ISI chief Assad Durani; NSCN cadres travelling to Pakistan from
Dhaka in March 1996 for training in guerrilla warfare; an
ISI-sponsored technical expert training Ulfa in operation and
installation of communication equipment at a Nagaland camp; detaining
of NSCN(I-M) chief T Muivah at Bangkok airport in January 2000 while
returning from Karachi after allegedly inspecting an arms consignment;
and the revelation of arrested All Tripura Tiger Force (ATTF) cadres
that ISI had extended $20,000 assistance to Tk 58 lakh to the outfit,
besides imparting arms training to eight ATTF cadres in 1997 at
Kandahar, Afghanistan.

With ISI and Bangladeshi group Jamaat-e-Islami allegedly funding
Assam-based Muslim fundamentalist groups like Multa, Mulfa, Simi and
Indian Mujahideen, it is feared that the latter may be used to exploit
the tension between Bodos and Bengali-speaking Muslims in Kokrajhar to
stoke communal fires and instigate local Muslims to take to home-grown
terror.

Obviously, the Indian security establishment is keen to arrest the
slide in Awami League's popularity. Though there is little it can do
to reverse the incumbency disadvantage, a positive development on the
Teesta water-sharing pact, financial assistance for the Padma Bridge
project and exchange of enclaves may go a long way in correcting the
negative perception in Bangladesh that Hasina has not managed any
major concessions from India. However, these will be possible only
after UPA's troublesome ally, the Trinamool Congress, is convinced to
drop its reservations on Teesta and the enclaves.

Even as efforts will intensify over the next year to recover lost
ground for Hasina, senior intelligence officials here claimed that
Khaleda's BNP alliance, saddled by corruption cases and expected
conviction of its leaders by war crimes tribunals, could see a
reversal in its growing popular perception closer to the polls,
expected sometime in February 2014.

http://m.timesofindia.com/india/Indias-worries-could-mount-with-Khaleda-Zias-expected-return-to-power-in-Bangladesh/articleshow/15912179.cms


------------------------------------

[* Moderator's Note - CHOTTALA is a non-profit, non-religious, non-political and non-discriminatory organization.

* Disclaimer: Any posting to the CHOTTALA are the opinion of the author. Authors of the messages to the CHOTTALA are responsible for the accuracy of their information and the conformance of their material with applicable copyright and other laws. Many people will read your post, and it will be archived for a very long time. The act of posting to the CHOTTALA indicates the subscriber's agreement to accept the adjudications of the moderator]
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/chottala/

<*> Your email settings:
Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/chottala/join
(Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
chottala-digest@yahoogroups.com
chottala-fullfeatured@yahoogroups.com

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
chottala-unsubscribe@yahoogroups.com

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/